英语翻译经济增长过程需要消耗原动力,而原动力主要来源于化石能源,导致了温室气体排放量的不断增长,并引起全球气候变暖,成为

英语翻译
经济增长过程需要消耗原动力,而原动力主要来源于化石能源,导致了温室气体排放量的不断增长,并引起全球气候变暖,成为国际社会普遍关心的重大全球性问题.据中国政府间气候变化专门委员会（IPCC）第三次评估报告指出,中国近百年的气候发生了明显变化：年平均气温升高了0.0.8℃,高于同期全球增温平均值,近50年变暖尤其明显,且影响降雨规律,致使极端气候事件频频发生,中国的气候变暖问题的形式非常严峻.因此,如何在实现经济合理增长的前提下,使碳排放总量在合理的范围,减少对气候变暖的影响,关于GDP和碳排放总量的关系,学界较多采用GDP和碳排放量的线性关系进行分析和研究,如检验方法,相关性分析法,线性回归方法,灰色相对关联度方法,对数平均Divisia分解法,VAR（向量自回归）模型的建立,环境库兹涅茨曲线及衍生曲线[4-8,12-13],等等.上述研究尝试通过两者的线性相关分析,寻找两者联系规律,回归线性模型,并以之进行未来趋势预测,应用于实际问题研究,取得了一些成果,但基本都没有涉及说明和论证如何在保证GDP合理增长的情况下减少碳排放.不可否认,经济的增长是以一定的环境退化为代价的.究竟二者怎样制衡才能达到“双赢”的局面,是经济效益与环境效益的博弈.本文引用经济学中的博弈论方法,以实现中国“2020年单位GDP二氧化碳量排放比2005年下降40%至45%”的承诺为前提,建立GDP与碳排放的博弈分析模型,对如何实现GDP增长与合理碳排以及经济效益和环境效益的协调统一的过程进行分析,解出双方的占优策略均衡.

Economic growth process need to consume motive power,and impulsion mainly comes from fossil energy,leading to the greenhouse gas emissions growth,and cause global warming,becomes the international society of concern to the major global problem.According to China's intergovernmental panel on climate change (IPCC) the third assessment report points out,China's nearly years of climate change:there has been a marked increase in the average temperature was 0.5 0.8 ℃,higher than in the same period,the average global temperature nearly 50 years warming especially apparent,and the influence law of rainfall,extreme weather events occurred frequently,China's climate change in the form very serious.Therefore,how to realize reasonable growth in the economy under the premise of carbon emissions,make the reasonable scope,and to reduce the effects of warming,is the urgent need to resolve problems.GDP and carbon emissions,about the relationship between the academic circle,more GDP and the linear relationship between carbon emissions are analyzed and studied,such as the inspection method,and the correlation analysis,the linear regression method,the method of gray correlation degree,relative logarithmic mean Divisia decomposition method,VAR (vector regression) model,environmental kuznets curve and derived curve's [4 to 8,12-13],and so on.The study try to both linear correlation analysis,looking for the connection between law,return to the linear model,and to predict the trend,applied to practical problems,research has acquired some achievements,but all is not involved in the basic instructions and proves how to ensure reasonable growth in GDP reduce carbon emissions.Undeniable,economic growth is based on certain environmental degradation is cost.How on earth can reach the balance between a "win-win" situation,economic benefits and environmental benefits is the game.The paper quotes from game theory in economics,in order to realize China's "2020 carbon dioxide emissions per unit of GDP dropped by 40% compared with 2005 to 45%" commitment for the premise,establish GDP and carbon emissions of game theory model,as to how to realize GDP growth and reasonable carbon row and economic benefits and environmental benefits is harmonious and unified process were analyzed,and the solution of the dominant strategy equilibrium.